Understanding the Last One Prize System and How to Aim for It | Comprehensive Explanation of Conditions, Probabilities, and Required Funds
Last One Prize Mechanism and How to Aim for It | Conditions, Probability, and Required Funds Explained
The Last One Prize in Ichiban Kuji is a special prize that can only be obtained by those who draw the last ticket. Due to its limited design and high rarity, it has become a popular prize sought after by many collectors. In this article, we will thoroughly explain the basic mechanism of the Last One Prize, the conditions for obtaining it, the winning probability, the required funds, and efficient strategies for aiming for it.
What is Last One Prize? (ラストワン賞とは?)
The Last One Prize is a special prize awarded to the person who draws the last ticket of Ichiban Kuji. While regular Ichiban Kuji has prizes ranging from A to E, the Last One Prize is a special category prepared separately from these. Regular prizes are determined by a lottery, but the Last One Prize has a clear condition: "drawing the last ticket." A typical Ichiban Kuji lot consists of 80 tickets, and the moment you draw that last ticket, you automatically receive the Last One Prize.
How Last One Prize Works (ラストワン賞の仕組み)
The mechanism of the Last One Prize is very simple. Each Ichiban Kuji lot (set) contains a fixed number of tickets, and the person who draws the last ticket receives the Last One Prize. For example, in an Ichiban Kuji with 80 tickets, if you draw the last remaining ticket after 79 have been drawn, you can obtain the Last One Prize on the spot. Stores display a ticket collection and attachment chart, allowing you to check the remaining number of tickets. The important point is that the Last One Prize is not a lottery but a "guarantee."
What Makes It Special (何が特別なのか)
The reason the Last One Prize is special lies in its rarity and exclusivity. While regular A and B prizes are available in multiple quantities, there is only one Last One Prize per lot. Additionally, the Last One Prize often features a special design that differs from regular prizes. For example, it may include different color variations, limited poses, or special effect parts that appeal to collectors. In the secondary market, Last One Prizes are often traded at high prices, and in the case of popular series, they can be sold for two to five times or more the retail price.
Examples of Past Last One Prizes (過去のラストワン賞例)
In past Ichiban Kuji events, many attractive Last One Prizes have appeared. In the "ONE PIECE" series, special color version figures of Luffy and Zoro were prepared as Last One Prizes, gaining popularity with their powerful designs that differ from the regular versions. In the "Mobile Suit Gundam" series, Last One Prizes featuring Gunpla with special paint jobs and limited decals have received high praise from Gundam fans.
Conditions to Get Last One Prize (ラストワン賞の入手条件)
The conditions for obtaining the Last One Prize are clear: "draw the last ticket of a lot." The most important thing is to keep track of the remaining number of tickets in real-time. In stores, drawn tickets are attached to the ticket collection chart, allowing you to calculate the remaining number from the total. In online stores, the screen displays "Remaining: XX tickets," making it even easier to check. Additionally, a strategy of visiting multiple stores to find locations with fewer remaining tickets is also effective.
Checking Remaining Tickets (残り枚数の確認方法)
The method for checking the remaining tickets varies depending on where you purchase them. When buying in-store, many shops display a "lottery ticket collection board." This is a board where drawn lottery tickets are affixed, allowing you to visually confirm the remaining quantity. For example, in a lottery with 80 tickets, if 70 tickets are affixed to the board, then 10 tickets remain. In online stores, the remaining quantity is clearly displayed on the screen, making it very easy to check. Official online stores like "Ichiban Kuji Club Online" and "Kuji Cole" update the remaining quantity in real-time.
Store Strategy (店舗戦略)
To aim for the Last One Prize, choosing the right store and timing your visit is crucial. The basic strategy is to巡回 multiple stores to find locations with a low remaining quantity. There are many stores that handle Ichiban Kuji, such as convenience stores, bookstores, hobby shops, and Animate, so it is efficient to list multiple candidates around your home or workplace. On the release day, many people line up early in the morning, so the remaining quantity decreases very quickly. On the other hand, a few days after the release, the remaining quantities can vary by store. Visiting when the remaining quantity is 10 or less and making a bulk purchase at once is an effective strategy.
Probability & Chances (確率と当選チャンス)
The probability of winning the Last One Prize can be clearly calculated based on the remaining quantity. This is a significant feature as it can be expressed as a definite number, unlike regular lottery prizes (A prize, B prize, etc.). If there is 1 ticket left, you will definitely win the Last One Prize if you draw next. If there are 10 tickets left, the probability of winning the Last One Prize is 10%. If there are 20 tickets left, it is 5%, and if there are 5 tickets left, it is 20%. However, this probability is calculated under the assumption that "only you continue to draw." In reality, other customers may also draw tickets simultaneously, so you need to consider the competitive situation.
Probability by Remaining Tickets (残り枚数別の確率)
Let's take a closer look at the probabilities by remaining tickets. The probability of winning the Last One Prize can be calculated as "1 ÷ remaining tickets × 100."
- 1 ticket remaining: 100% (guaranteed)
- 5 tickets remaining: 20%
- 10 tickets remaining: 10%
- 20 tickets remaining: 5%
- 30 tickets remaining: about 3.3%
For example, if there are 10 tickets remaining and you draw all 10, you will definitely win the Last One Prize. As a practical strategy, making a bulk purchase when the remaining quantity is 10 or less is the most reliable. If you buy all 10 tickets of a lottery priced at 680 yen each, you will secure the Last One Prize for 6,800 yen.
Comparison with Other Prizes (他の賞との比較)
Let's compare the probability of the Last One Prize with other top prizes. Typically, the winning probability for the A prize is about 3 to 5 tickets out of 80 in a lot, which is approximately 3.75% to 6.25%. The B prize has a slightly higher probability, with about 5 to 8 tickets, resulting in approximately 6.25% to 10%. If you aim for the Last One Prize with 20 tickets remaining, the probability is 5%, which is almost equivalent to the A prize. However, if the remaining quantity decreases to 10 tickets, the probability becomes 10%, allowing you to aim for the Last One Prize with a higher probability than the B prize. The greatest advantage of the Last One Prize is its "certainty."
Expected Value Analysis (期待値分析)
When aiming for the Last One Prize, it is also important to consider the expected value. The expected value quantifies how much value can be obtained in relation to the amount invested. For example, if you buy all 10 remaining tickets of a lottery ticket priced at 680 yen each, the total investment is 6,800 yen. Among these 10 tickets, there is a high possibility that there are other prizes such as B, C, and D prizes, and the total prize value can amount to 10,000 to 20,000 yen. It is important to calculate calmly and determine whether it is truly valuable for you.
How Much Money Do You Need? (必要資金の計算)
How much funding is needed to aim for the Last One Prize? This is determined by the number of remaining tickets and the price per ticket. The price per ticket for a lottery varies by series, but generally ranges from 680 to 900 yen. If there are 10 tickets remaining, the required funds are between 6,800 and 9,000 yen. If there are 20 tickets remaining, it would be between 13,600 and 18,000 yen, and for 30 tickets remaining, it would be between 20,400 and 27,000 yen. Additionally, comparing with buying a full lot (purchasing all tickets in a lot) is also important. If you buy all 80 tickets in a lot, you will need between 54,400 and 72,000 yen, but you can secure all the prizes.
Per-Draw Pricing (1回の価格)
The price per draw for a lottery ticket fluctuates depending on the series and sales period. The most common price range is 680 yen, which is the standard price for many lottery tickets sold at convenience stores and bookstores. For popular series or those that include large figures, the price can be between 800 and 900 yen per draw. For major titles like "ONE PIECE" or "Dragon Ball," the mainstream price is around 900 yen per draw.
Cost by Remaining Tickets (残り枚数別のコスト)
Let's calculate the required funds based on the number of remaining tickets. Here, we will compare two cases: one at 680 yen per draw and one at 900 yen per draw.
- For 5 remaining tickets: 3,400 to 4,500 yen
- For 10 remaining tickets: 6,800 to 9,000 yen
- For 15 remaining tickets: 10,200 to 13,500 yen
- For 20 remaining tickets: 13,600 to 18,000 yen
- For 30 remaining tickets: 20,400 to 27,000 yen
The best cost performance is at the timing of 5 to 10 remaining tickets. At this stage, you can aim for the Last One Prize with relatively little funding. If you want to ensure you can aim for the Last One Prize, the most reliable strategy is to buy up all the remaining tickets at once.
Budget Planning Tips (資金計画のコツ)
When aiming for the Last One Prize, it is important to establish a budget plan in advance. First, clearly set your budget limit. For example, if you decide on "up to 10,000 yen," you can avoid the risk of becoming emotional and overspending. Next, consider the value of other prizes besides the Last One Prize. If you purchase 10 remaining tickets, you will not only get the Last One Prize but also other B, C, and D prizes. Additionally, if you are purchasing online, do not forget to include shipping costs in your calculations.
Strategies to Target Last One Prize (ラストワン賞を狙う戦略)
To efficiently acquire the Last One Prize, a proper strategy is necessary. Instead of simply relying on luck, you can significantly increase your success rate by strategically choosing the timing, location, and method of purchase. The most basic strategy is to aim for times when the remaining number of tickets is low. When there are 10 tickets or fewer left, the probability of winning the Last One Prize exceeds 10%, allowing you to aim for it with relatively low investment. Whether to purchase online or offline (in-store) is also part of the strategy. Online purchases clearly display the remaining number of tickets, and you can target times with less competition, such as late at night or early in the morning.
Release Day Strategy (発売日の戦略)
When aiming for the Last One Prize on the release day, the basic strategy is to line up at the store first thing in the morning. For popular series, there may be a line forming even before the store opens, so it is advisable to arrive 30 minutes to 1 hour before opening time. Once you enter the store right after it opens, the first thing to do is check the remaining number of tickets. Here, it is important not to draw immediately but to observe the movements of other customers. If those who were lined up ahead are drawing a large number of tickets, you should reassess the remaining number before deciding whether to draw. If you plan to visit multiple stores, make sure to plan your route in advance.
Post-Release Strategy (発売後の戦略)
A few days after the release, the strategy of searching for stores with a low remaining number of tickets becomes effective. While popular stores may already be sold out, lesser-known stores might still have some left. Good targets are convenience stores in residential areas away from the station or small bookstores with shorter operating hours. These stores often have a larger number of remaining tickets due to fewer customers. Once you find a store with 10 to 20 tickets left, you should quickly decide whether to purchase immediately or wait a bit longer. Searching for hashtags like "一番くじ 残り枚数" on social media (Twitter and Instagram) can provide real-time information.
Online Strategy (オンライン戦略)
Online purchases are a very effective method for aiming for the Last One Prize. Official online stores like "一番くじ倶楽部オンライン" and "くじコレ" display the remaining number of tickets in real-time on the screen, making it easier to grasp the situation than in stores. The biggest advantage of online purchases is the ability to target times with less competition, such as late at night or early in the morning. Particularly, the hours between 2 AM and 6 AM have fewer accesses, allowing you to proceed with purchases even when the remaining number of tickets is low. Online, you may have the option to choose a "lottery box," and by selecting the box with the fewest remaining tickets, you can increase your chances of winning the Last One Prize.
Risks & Considerations (リスクと注意点)
When aiming for the Last One Prize, there are several risks and considerations. The biggest risk is the need for a high investment. If you aim when there are many tickets left, you may need over 10,000 yen, which could exceed your budget. Additionally, there is always the risk of being outpaced by other customers. Between checking the "10 tickets left" at the store and deciding to purchase, other customers may draw tickets first. Furthermore, some stores may have purchase limits in place. If there are restrictions like "up to 5 times per person" or "up to 10 times per day," you cannot monopolize the remaining tickets all at once.
Investment Risks (投資リスク)
The biggest risk in aiming for the Last One Prize is the need for a significant investment. If you want to purchase all of the remaining 20 tickets, you will need funds ranging from 13,600 yen to 18,000 yen. This amount is high compared to typical figure purchases. Furthermore, the Last One Prize you acquire may not hold the value you expected. For example, the price in the secondary market may be lower than anticipated, or the design may not match your personal taste. Therefore, it is important to calmly assess the value before investing.
Store Limitations
Many stores impose restrictions on purchasing Ichiban Kuji. The most common restriction is "up to 5 times per person," but some stores may have rules like "up to 10 times per day" or "only once." Due to these restrictions, if there are more than 10 tickets left, it may not be possible for one person to purchase them all. A countermeasure is to visit with friends or family and purchase as a group.
Competition
The biggest barrier to aiming for the Last One Prize is competition with other customers. In popular series, there are often multiple people aiming for the Last One Prize, so when the remaining tickets decrease, it becomes a scramble. Especially when there are 10 tickets or fewer left, those aiming for the Last One Prize will all spring into action at once. When information spreads on social media, people may gather from afar, intensifying the competition. To avoid competition, it is effective to target lesser-known series, aim for a time after the release, or find hidden gem stores.
For International Buyers
For foreigners aiming for the Last One Prize of Ichiban Kuji in Japan, there are several additional challenges. The biggest barrier is the language issue. When checking the remaining tickets in stores, communication in Japanese may be necessary. However, fortunately, there is the option of online purchasing. In online stores, the remaining tickets are displayed on the screen, making it easier to overcome the language barrier. Additionally, using translation apps like Google Translate can help facilitate the purchasing process smoothly. Furthermore, by utilizing proxy purchasing services, you can aim for the Last One Prize even if you are not in Japan.
Language Assistance
When purchasing Ichiban Kuji in stores, if you are unsure about your Japanese, make use of translation apps. Installing Google Translate or DeepL on your smartphone will help facilitate communication with store staff. It is also useful to memorize some Japanese phrases in advance. For example, remembering phrases like "How many are left?" (Nokori nan-mai desu ka?) or "I want to buy them all" (Zenbu kaitai desu) will allow for smoother purchases.
Online Purchase Recommendation
For foreigners, online purchasing is the most recommended method. The official online store "Ichiban Kuji Club Online" clearly displays the remaining tickets, and the purchasing process is relatively simple. The advantage of online purchasing is that the language barrier is lower. By translating the information on the screen with a translation app, you can make purchases even if you do not understand Japanese. However, online purchases require a Japanese address and credit card. If you are staying in Japan, you can use a hotel or a friend's address.
Proxy Services (代理購入サービス)
If you are outside Japan, you can aim for the Last One Prize of Ichiban Kuji by using proxy purchasing services. The most popular services are "FROM JAPAN" and "Buyee". FROM JAPAN is a service that purchases products from online shops and physical stores in Japan on your behalf and ships them overseas. By entering the URL of the Ichiban Kuji Club Online into FROM JAPAN, you can request a proxy purchase. The fee is about 10% to 15% of the product price, and shipping costs vary depending on the country and weight.
Summary: Efficiently Obtaining the Last One Prize
The Last One Prize is a special prize with unique value among Ichiban Kuji items. Due to its limited design, rarity, and high collector value, it has become a popular prize that many fans aim for. This article comprehensively explains the mechanism of the Last One Prize, acquisition conditions, probabilities, required funds, and efficient targeting methods.
To summarize the key points for efficiently obtaining the Last One Prize, they are as follows. First, checking the remaining tickets is the most important. In stores, check the "lottery ticket collection attachment table," and online, utilize the remaining ticket display. The timing when there are 10 tickets or fewer left is the most cost-effective target. Next, it is essential to establish a financial plan in advance. For Ichiban Kuji priced at 680 to 900 yen per ticket, if there are 10 tickets left, you will need 6,800 to 9,000 yen, and if there are 20 tickets left, you will need 13,600 to 18,000 yen. Clearly set your budget limit and avoid emotional purchases.
Strategic timing is also important. Choose whether to line up early on the release day or to look for stores with fewer remaining tickets a few days after the release, depending on your situation. For online purchases, targeting times with less competition, such as late at night or early in the morning, is effective. Don't forget about risk management. If a significant investment is required, calmly assess whether it is truly worth it. You also need to consider store purchase limits and competition with other customers.
For foreigners, utilizing online purchases or proxy purchasing services allows you to aim for the Last One Prize beyond language barriers. By using FROM JAPAN or Buyee, you can purchase even from overseas. Finally, the most important thing about Ichiban Kuji is to "enjoy it." It would be wonderful to obtain the Last One Prize, but even if you don't, the original purpose is to enjoy the process of drawing Ichiban Kuji and collecting items. Enjoy it at your own pace within a reasonable range.
As the next step, check the official site (Ichiban Kuji Club) for release information on popular series, and when you find a Last One Prize that interests you, try implementing the strategies introduced in this article. If you act strategically, you should be able to obtain the Last One Prize.
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